1.Scenario Frameworks for Macro Investment
Scatter plot and summary · 2026
A macro investment analyst automated the assembly of fragmented datasets to create a probability-weighted scenario framework. The dashboard combines a scatter plot and summary table, plotting VIX levels against Forward 6M S&P 500 returns. Data is categorized into three regimes: Bull (834 count, 58.4% probability, 10.4% average return, 16.1 average VIX, 4.01% average Fed Funds), Base (34.0% probability, 1.1% average return), and Bear (7.6% probability, -13.2% average return). Vertical dashed lines mark thresholds at VIX levels of 20 and 25, illustrating how complex variables can be unified into an interactive view.
What it shows:
How probability-weighted scenario modeling visualizes distinct outcome regimes based on threshold metrics.




